{"id":750,"date":"2020-04-29T10:59:11","date_gmt":"2020-04-29T05:29:11","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.potentialloops.org\/?p=750"},"modified":"2020-04-29T10:59:13","modified_gmt":"2020-04-29T05:29:13","slug":"correlations-in-covid-19-growth-point-to-universal-strategies-for-slowing-spread","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.potentialloops.org\/?p=750","title":{"rendered":"Correlations in COVID-19 growth point to universal strategies for slowing spread"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p> Date: April 28, 2020 <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Source 1: American Institute of Physics <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Source 2: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sciencedaily.com\/releases\/2020\/04\/200428112535.htm\">www.sciencedaily.com<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Summary: Models drawing on chaos theory find growth in nine  countries conforms to a power law curve and highlight the value of  strict social distancing and testing policies. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"620\" height=\"330\" src=\"https:\/\/www.potentialloops.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/image.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-751\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.potentialloops.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/image.jpg 620w, https:\/\/www.potentialloops.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/image-300x160.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.potentialloops.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/image-360x192.jpg 360w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 620px) 100vw, 620px\" \/><figcaption>Source: Google Images<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\"> Many months since the first COVID-19 outbreak in Wuhan, China, countries  continue to explore solutions that are effective at managing the spread  of the virus and culturally feasible to implement. Chaos theory  analysis has provided insight on how well infection prevention  strategies can be adopted by multiple countries. <\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p>Researchers in Brazil analyzed the growth of confirmed infected \nCOVID-19 cases across four continents to better characterize the spread \nof the virus and examine which strategies are effective in reducing its \nspread.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Their results, published in <em>Chaos<\/em>, from AIP Publishing, \nfound the virus commonly grows along a power law curve, in which the \nsocial, economic and geographical features of a particular area affect \nthe exponent to which the infection spreads rather than affecting traits\n of the infection itself.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;We decided to use our expertise to perform extensive numerical \nanalysis using the real-time series of the cumulative confirmed cases of\n COVID-19 in order to search for answers about the spreading of this \npathogen,&#8221; said author Cesar Manchein.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The study draws on data current through March 27 from Brazil, China, \nFrance, Germany, Italy, Japan, South Korea, Spain and the United States.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The group&#8217;s approach draws from a technique called numerical \nmodeling, which leverages computing power to solve a set of differential\n equations in drawing comparisons between groups.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The high correlation in power law curves between each of the \ncountries has allowed the group to single out generic effective \nstrategies. Softer quarantine measures, they write, are inefficient at \nflattening curves compared to stricter isolation guidelines.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;Our results essentially show that an efficient strategy to avoid the\n increase of the number of infected individuals by coronavirus combines \ntwo actions: Keep to a high level of social distance and implement a \nsignificant number of tests to identify and isolate asymptomatic \nindividuals,&#8221; said author Rafael M. da Silva.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>They mention that the combination of the two actions, stay-at-home \nmeasures and more aggressive disease testing, are essentially the \nstrategies used in South Korea.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The researchers plan on continuing to apply real-world data to \nfurther improve their model. Da Silva said the group hopes to use their \nmodels to test distinct strategies that could avoid the use of long \nquarantines.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;Physics and chaos theory researchers can have a fundamental role in \nthe battle against the coronavirus,&#8221; said author Cesar Manchein. &#8220;From \nthe theoretical point of view, researchers can use their knowledge and \nexperience to study the time and territorial evolution of the disease.&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Story Source:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Materials provided by <a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/www.aip.org\/\" target=\"_blank\"><strong>American Institute of Physics<\/strong><\/a>. <em>Note: Content may be edited for style and length.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.sciencedaily.com\/releases\/2020\/04\/200428112535.htm\">www.sciencedaily.com<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Journal Reference<\/strong>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ol class=\"wp-block-list\"><li>Cesar Manchein, Eduardo L. Brugnago, Rafael M. da Silva, Carlos F. O. Mendes, Marcus W. Beims. <strong>Strong correlations between power-law growth of COVID-19 in four continents and the inefficiency of soft quarantine strategies<\/strong>. <em>Chaos: An Interdisciplinary Journal of Nonlinear Science<\/em>, 2020; 30 (4): 041102 DOI: <a href=\"http:\/\/dx.doi.org\/10.1063\/5.0009454\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" target=\"_blank\">10.1063\/5.0009454<\/a>\n<\/li><\/ol>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Date: April 28, 2020 Source 1: American Institute of Physics Source 2: www.sciencedaily.com Summary: Models drawing on chaos theory find growth in nine countries conforms to a power law curve and highlight the value of strict social distancing and testing policies. Many months since the first COVID-19 outbreak in Wuhan, China, countries continue to explore [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":751,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"_uf_show_specific_survey":0,"_uf_disable_surveys":false,"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"footnotes":""},"categories":[35],"tags":[65,31,64,68,67,66],"class_list":["post-750","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-coronavirus","tag-correlations","tag-covid-19","tag-out-break","tag-spread","tag-strategies","tag-universal"],"aioseo_notices":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.1.1 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Correlations in COVID-19 growth point to universal strategies for slowing spread -<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.potentialloops.org\/?p=750\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Correlations in COVID-19 growth point to universal strategies for slowing spread -\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Date: April 28, 2020 Source 1: American Institute of Physics Source 2: www.sciencedaily.com Summary: Models drawing on chaos theory find growth in nine countries conforms to a power law curve and highlight the value of strict social distancing and testing policies. Many months since the first COVID-19 outbreak in Wuhan, China, countries continue to explore [&hellip;]\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.potentialloops.org\/?p=750\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2020-04-29T05:29:11+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2020-04-29T05:29:13+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/www.potentialloops.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/image.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"620\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"330\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"admin\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"admin\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"3 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.potentialloops.org\/?p=750#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.potentialloops.org\/?p=750\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"admin\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.potentialloops.org\/#\/schema\/person\/d508dfaad8fb7ea01e1443868d5fbc3c\"},\"headline\":\"Correlations in COVID-19 growth point to universal strategies for slowing spread\",\"datePublished\":\"2020-04-29T05:29:11+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2020-04-29T05:29:13+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.potentialloops.org\/?p=750\"},\"wordCount\":520,\"commentCount\":0,\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.potentialloops.org\/?p=750#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/www.potentialloops.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/image.jpg\",\"keywords\":[\"Correlations\",\"COVID-19\",\"Out-Break\",\"Spread\",\"Strategies\",\"Universal\"],\"articleSection\":[\"Research\"],\"inLanguage\":\"en\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"CommentAction\",\"name\":\"Comment\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/www.potentialloops.org\/?p=750#respond\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.potentialloops.org\/?p=750\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.potentialloops.org\/?p=750\",\"name\":\"Correlations in COVID-19 growth point to universal strategies for slowing spread -\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.potentialloops.org\/#website\"},\"primaryImageOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.potentialloops.org\/?p=750#primaryimage\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.potentialloops.org\/?p=750#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/www.potentialloops.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/image.jpg\",\"datePublished\":\"2020-04-29T05:29:11+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2020-04-29T05:29:13+00:00\",\"author\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.potentialloops.org\/#\/schema\/person\/d508dfaad8fb7ea01e1443868d5fbc3c\"},\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.potentialloops.org\/?p=750#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"en\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/www.potentialloops.org\/?p=750\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.potentialloops.org\/?p=750#primaryimage\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.potentialloops.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/image.jpg\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/www.potentialloops.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/image.jpg\",\"width\":620,\"height\":330},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.potentialloops.org\/?p=750#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Home\",\"item\":\"https:\/\/www.potentialloops.org\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"Correlations in COVID-19 growth point to universal strategies for slowing spread\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.potentialloops.org\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.potentialloops.org\/\",\"name\":\"\",\"description\":\"\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"SearchAction\",\"target\":{\"@type\":\"EntryPoint\",\"urlTemplate\":\"https:\/\/www.potentialloops.org\/?s={search_term_string}\"},\"query-input\":{\"@type\":\"PropertyValueSpecification\",\"valueRequired\":true,\"valueName\":\"search_term_string\"}}],\"inLanguage\":\"en\"},{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.potentialloops.org\/#\/schema\/person\/d508dfaad8fb7ea01e1443868d5fbc3c\",\"name\":\"admin\",\"image\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.potentialloops.org\/#\/schema\/person\/image\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/abb2a0d1a4ff657cb900f74bf26a3ec29ef3498311d48609222d7ecf2c76d624?s=96&d=mm&r=g\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/abb2a0d1a4ff657cb900f74bf26a3ec29ef3498311d48609222d7ecf2c76d624?s=96&d=mm&r=g\",\"caption\":\"admin\"},\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.potentialloops.org\/?author=1\"}]}<\/script>\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO plugin. -->","yoast_head_json":{"title":"Correlations in COVID-19 growth point to universal strategies for slowing spread -","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/www.potentialloops.org\/?p=750","og_locale":"en_US","og_type":"article","og_title":"Correlations in COVID-19 growth point to universal strategies for slowing spread -","og_description":"Date: April 28, 2020 Source 1: American Institute of Physics Source 2: www.sciencedaily.com Summary: Models drawing on chaos theory find growth in nine countries conforms to a power law curve and highlight the value of strict social distancing and testing policies. Many months since the first COVID-19 outbreak in Wuhan, China, countries continue to explore [&hellip;]","og_url":"https:\/\/www.potentialloops.org\/?p=750","article_published_time":"2020-04-29T05:29:11+00:00","article_modified_time":"2020-04-29T05:29:13+00:00","og_image":[{"width":620,"height":330,"url":"https:\/\/www.potentialloops.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/image.jpg","type":"image\/jpeg"}],"author":"admin","twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_misc":{"Written by":"admin","Est. reading time":"3 minutes"},"schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"Article","@id":"https:\/\/www.potentialloops.org\/?p=750#article","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.potentialloops.org\/?p=750"},"author":{"name":"admin","@id":"https:\/\/www.potentialloops.org\/#\/schema\/person\/d508dfaad8fb7ea01e1443868d5fbc3c"},"headline":"Correlations in COVID-19 growth point to universal strategies for slowing spread","datePublished":"2020-04-29T05:29:11+00:00","dateModified":"2020-04-29T05:29:13+00:00","mainEntityOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.potentialloops.org\/?p=750"},"wordCount":520,"commentCount":0,"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.potentialloops.org\/?p=750#primaryimage"},"thumbnailUrl":"https:\/\/www.potentialloops.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/image.jpg","keywords":["Correlations","COVID-19","Out-Break","Spread","Strategies","Universal"],"articleSection":["Research"],"inLanguage":"en","potentialAction":[{"@type":"CommentAction","name":"Comment","target":["https:\/\/www.potentialloops.org\/?p=750#respond"]}]},{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/www.potentialloops.org\/?p=750","url":"https:\/\/www.potentialloops.org\/?p=750","name":"Correlations in COVID-19 growth point to universal strategies for slowing spread -","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.potentialloops.org\/#website"},"primaryImageOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.potentialloops.org\/?p=750#primaryimage"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.potentialloops.org\/?p=750#primaryimage"},"thumbnailUrl":"https:\/\/www.potentialloops.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/image.jpg","datePublished":"2020-04-29T05:29:11+00:00","dateModified":"2020-04-29T05:29:13+00:00","author":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.potentialloops.org\/#\/schema\/person\/d508dfaad8fb7ea01e1443868d5fbc3c"},"breadcrumb":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.potentialloops.org\/?p=750#breadcrumb"},"inLanguage":"en","potentialAction":[{"@type":"ReadAction","target":["https:\/\/www.potentialloops.org\/?p=750"]}]},{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en","@id":"https:\/\/www.potentialloops.org\/?p=750#primaryimage","url":"https:\/\/www.potentialloops.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/image.jpg","contentUrl":"https:\/\/www.potentialloops.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/image.jpg","width":620,"height":330},{"@type":"BreadcrumbList","@id":"https:\/\/www.potentialloops.org\/?p=750#breadcrumb","itemListElement":[{"@type":"ListItem","position":1,"name":"Home","item":"https:\/\/www.potentialloops.org\/"},{"@type":"ListItem","position":2,"name":"Correlations in COVID-19 growth point to universal strategies for slowing spread"}]},{"@type":"WebSite","@id":"https:\/\/www.potentialloops.org\/#website","url":"https:\/\/www.potentialloops.org\/","name":"","description":"","potentialAction":[{"@type":"SearchAction","target":{"@type":"EntryPoint","urlTemplate":"https:\/\/www.potentialloops.org\/?s={search_term_string}"},"query-input":{"@type":"PropertyValueSpecification","valueRequired":true,"valueName":"search_term_string"}}],"inLanguage":"en"},{"@type":"Person","@id":"https:\/\/www.potentialloops.org\/#\/schema\/person\/d508dfaad8fb7ea01e1443868d5fbc3c","name":"admin","image":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en","@id":"https:\/\/www.potentialloops.org\/#\/schema\/person\/image\/","url":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/abb2a0d1a4ff657cb900f74bf26a3ec29ef3498311d48609222d7ecf2c76d624?s=96&d=mm&r=g","contentUrl":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/abb2a0d1a4ff657cb900f74bf26a3ec29ef3498311d48609222d7ecf2c76d624?s=96&d=mm&r=g","caption":"admin"},"url":"https:\/\/www.potentialloops.org\/?author=1"}]}},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.potentialloops.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/750","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.potentialloops.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.potentialloops.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.potentialloops.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.potentialloops.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=750"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.potentialloops.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/750\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":752,"href":"https:\/\/www.potentialloops.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/750\/revisions\/752"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.potentialloops.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/751"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.potentialloops.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=750"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.potentialloops.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=750"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.potentialloops.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=750"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}