{"id":784,"date":"2020-05-12T10:51:52","date_gmt":"2020-05-12T05:21:52","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.potentialloops.org\/?p=784"},"modified":"2020-05-12T10:51:53","modified_gmt":"2020-05-12T05:21:53","slug":"new-ai-diagnostic-can-predict-covid-19-without-testing","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.potentialloops.org\/?p=784","title":{"rendered":"New AI diagnostic can predict COVID-19 without testing"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p> Date: May 11, 2020 <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Source 1: King&#8217;s College London <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Source 2: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sciencedaily.com\/releases\/2020\/05\/200511112628.htm?utm_source=feedburner&amp;utm_medium=feed&amp;utm_campaign=Feed%3A+sciencedaily%2Fmost_popular+%28Most+Popular+News+--+ScienceDaily%29\">www.sciencedaily.com<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Summary: Researchers have developed an artificial  intelligence diagnostic that can predict whether someone is likely to  have COVID-19 based on their symptoms. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Researchers at King&#8217;s College London, \nMassachusetts General Hospital and health science company ZOE have \ndeveloped an artificial intelligence diagnostic that can predict whether\n someone is likely to have COVID-19 based on their symptoms. Their \nfindings are published today in <em>Nature Medicine<\/em>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The AI model uses data from the COVID Symptom Study app to predict \nCOVID-19 infection, by comparing people&#8217;s symptoms and the results of \ntraditional COVID tests. Researchers say this may provide help for \npopulations where access to testing is limited. Two clinical trials in \nthe UK and the US are due to start shortly.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>More than 3.3 million people globally have downloaded the app and are\n using it to report daily on their health status, whether they feel well\n or have any new symptoms such as persistent cough, fever, fatigue and \nloss of taste or smell (anosmia).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In this study, the researchers analysed data gathered from just under\n 2.5 million people in the UK and US who had been regularly logging \ntheir health status in the app, around a third of whom had logged \nsymptoms associated with COVID-19. Of these, 18,374 reported having had a\n test for coronavirus, with 7,178 people testing positive.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The research team investigated which symptoms known to be associated \nwith COVID-19 were most likely to be associated with a positive test. \nThey found a wide range of symptoms compared to cold and flu, and warn \nagainst focusing only on fever and cough. Indeed, they found loss of \ntaste and smell (anosmia) was particularly striking, with two thirds of \nusers testing positive for coronavirus infection reporting this symptom \ncompared with just over a fifth of the participants who tested negative.\n The findings suggest that anosmia is a stronger predictor of COVID-19 \nthan fever, supporting anecdotal reports of loss of smell and taste as a\n common symptom of the disease.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The researchers then created a mathematical model that predicted with\n nearly 80% accuracy whether an individual is likely to have COVID-19 \nbased on their age, sex and a combination of four key symptoms: loss of \nsmell or taste, severe or persistent cough, fatigue and skipping meals. \nApplying this model to the entire group of over 800,000 app users \nexperiencing symptoms predicted that just under a fifth of those who \nwere unwell (17.42%) were likely to have COVID-19 at that time.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Researchers suggest that combining this AI prediction with widespread\n adoption of the app could help to identify those who are likely to be \ninfectious as soon as the earliest symptoms start to appear, focusing \ntracking and testing efforts where they are most needed.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Professor Tim Spector from King&#8217;s College London said: &#8220;Our results  suggest that loss of taste or smell is a key early warning sign of  COVID-19 infection and should be included in routine screening for the  disease. We strongly urge governments and health authorities everywhere  to make this information more widely known, and advise anyone  experiencing sudden loss of smell or taste to assume that they are  infected and follow local self-isolation guidelines.&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Story Source:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/www.kcl.ac.uk\/news\/new-ai-diagnostic-can-predict-covid-19-without-testing\" target=\"_blank\">Materials<\/a> provided by <a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/www.kcl.ac.uk\/\" target=\"_blank\"><strong>King&#8217;s College London<\/strong><\/a>. <em>Note: Content may be edited for style and length.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.sciencedaily.com\/releases\/2020\/05\/200511112628.htm?utm_source=feedburner&amp;utm_medium=feed&amp;utm_campaign=Feed%3A+sciencedaily%2Fmost_popular+%28Most+Popular+News+--+ScienceDaily%29\">www.sciencedaily.com<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Journal Reference<\/strong>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ol class=\"wp-block-list\"><li>Cristina Menni, Ana M. Valdes, Maxim B. Freidin, Carole H. Sudre, \nLong H. Nguyen, David A. Drew, Sajaysurya Ganesh, Thomas Varsavsky, M. \nJorge Cardoso, Julia S. El-Sayed Moustafa, Alessia Visconti, Pirro Hysi,\n Ruth C. E. Bowyer, Massimo Mangino, Mario Falchi, Jonathan Wolf, \nSebastien Ourselin, Andrew T. Chan, Claire J. Steves, Tim D. Spector. <strong>Real-time tracking of self-reported symptoms to predict potential COVID-19<\/strong>. <em>Nature Medicine<\/em>, 2020; DOI: <a href=\"http:\/\/dx.doi.org\/10.1038\/s41591-020-0916-2\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" target=\"_blank\">10.1038\/s41591-020-0916-2<\/a>\n<\/li><\/ol>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator\"\/>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Date: May 11, 2020 Source 1: King&#8217;s College London Source 2: www.sciencedaily.com Summary: Researchers have developed an artificial intelligence diagnostic that can predict whether someone is likely to have COVID-19 based on their symptoms. Researchers at King&#8217;s College London, Massachusetts General Hospital and health science company ZOE have developed an artificial intelligence diagnostic that can [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":785,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"_uf_show_specific_survey":0,"_uf_disable_surveys":false,"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"footnotes":""},"categories":[35],"tags":[29,36,31,128,130,72,40,129],"class_list":["post-784","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-coronavirus","tag-ai","tag-corona","tag-covid-19","tag-diagnostic","tag-health-science","tag-predict","tag-research","tag-symptoms"],"aioseo_notices":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.1.1 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>New AI diagnostic can predict COVID-19 without testing -<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.potentialloops.org\/?p=784\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"New AI diagnostic can predict COVID-19 without testing -\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Date: May 11, 2020 Source 1: King&#8217;s College London Source 2: www.sciencedaily.com Summary: Researchers have developed an artificial intelligence diagnostic that can predict whether someone is likely to have COVID-19 based on their symptoms. 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